Faiz Radarcentral bank tracker
BoE18 June 2026, Thursday · 14:00 TRT

BoE rate decision · 18 June 2026

Policy rate held at 3.75%.

Decision

Previous rate
3.75%
New rate
3.75%
Change
no change

Bank Rate

Expectation before the decision

Bank of England OIS curve, close of 17 June 2026 (last business day before the decision)

market pricing
Expected rate
3.74%
−1 bp
Decision
3.75%
0 bp
Gap
+1 bp
in line with expectations

in line with expectations (+1 bp) The decision was in line with expectations; the gap is 1 basis points.

Priced probabilities (approximate, assuming 25 bp steps)
Hike
0.0%
Hold
96.0%
Cut
4.0%

How the expectation moved

The rate expected for this meeting, from the previous decision up to this one. Dashed lines show the previous rate and the decision.

A gap below 10 basis points counts as in line, 25 basis points or more as a surprise, and anything between as "slightly". Only expectations formed after the previous decision and before this one are used. How are expectations measured? · Source

What changed in the statement?

The summary is being prepared; it is added shortly after the statement is retrieved.

The publisher's terms of use do not allow the statement to be republished here, so only the summary is shown.

Official statement →