Rate decisions
Each decision is compared with the expectation formed before it: market pricing (BoE) or surveys of analysts and economists (Fed, ECB, CBRT). The statement is compared with the previous one and the changes are summarised. How to read a rate decision
September 2026
- BoJ18 September 2026 · 1.25% (+25 bp)no expectation sourcestatement: more hawkish
July 2026
- BoJ31 July 2026 · 1.00% (hold)no expectation sourcestatement: more hawkish
June 2026
- BoJ16 June 2026 · 1.00% (+25 bp)no expectation source
April 2026
- BoJ28 April 2026 · 0.75% (hold)no expectation source
March 2026
- BoJ19 March 2026 · 0.75% (hold)no expectation source
January 2026
- BoJ23 January 2026 · 0.75% (hold)no expectation source
The archive starts in January 2026. There is no republishable expectation source for the BoJ and RBA, so no surprise is calculated for them.