Rate decisions
Each decision is compared with the expectation formed before it: market pricing (BoE) or surveys of analysts and economists (Fed, ECB, CBRT). The statement is compared with the previous one and the changes are summarised. How to read a rate decision
September 2026
- ECB10 September 2026 · 2.50% (+25 bp)in line with expectationsstatement: more hawkish
July 2026
- ECB23 July 2026 · 2.25% (hold)in line with expectations
June 2026
- ECB11 June 2026 · 2.25% (+25 bp)in line with expectations
April 2026
- ECB30 April 2026 · 2.00% (hold)in line with expectations
March 2026
- ECB19 March 2026 · 2.00% (hold)in line with expectations
February 2026
- ECB05 February 2026 · 2.00% (hold)in line with expectations
The archive starts in January 2026. There is no republishable expectation source for the BoJ and RBA, so no surprise is calculated for them.