Rate decisions
Each decision is compared with the expectation formed before it: market pricing (BoE) or surveys of analysts and economists (Fed, ECB, CBRT). The statement is compared with the previous one and the changes are summarised. How to read a rate decision
September 2026
- RBA29 September 2026 · 4.60% (+25 bp)no expectation sourcestatement: more hawkish
August 2026
- RBA11 August 2026 · 4.35% (hold)no expectation sourcestatement: mixed
June 2026
- RBA16 June 2026 · 4.35% (hold)no expectation source
May 2026
- RBA05 May 2026 · 4.35% (+25 bp)no expectation source
March 2026
- RBA17 March 2026 · 4.10% (+25 bp)no expectation source
February 2026
- RBA03 February 2026 · 3.85% (+25 bp)no expectation source
The archive starts in January 2026. There is no republishable expectation source for the BoJ and RBA, so no surprise is calculated for them.